MajorHolders · Research & Analysis

Asset appreciation
flows to those who hold
the assets.

During every period of prosperity, the gains ripple outward from those at the center of ownership. Understanding who holds what — and why it matters — is the foundation of understanding wealth.

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89%
of US equities owned by top 10%
+400%
S&P 500 gain, 2010–2021
+4%
real wage growth, same period
38%
of all US wealth held by top 1%
3%
held by bottom 50%
Our belief

Prosperity is real.
So is its geometry.

Economic growth, low interest rates, and rising asset prices are not inherently good or bad. Their moral and social weight depends entirely on the distribution of ownership at the moment they occur. MajorHolders exists to map that distribution — and trace its consequences.

The question is never just "are asset prices rising?" The question is: who is sitting at the origin of that ripple?

I
Asset appreciation is a ripple, not a tide
It doesn't lift all boats equally. It radiates outward from owners — strongest at the center, weaker at each remove. Those closest to ownership capture the most.
II
Ownership concentration determines the shape of prosperity
When equities, real estate, and private businesses are held by a narrow slice of the population, any appreciation of those assets narrows the beneficiaries to that same slice.
III
Monetary policy is not class-neutral
Low rates and QE inflate asset prices before they inflate wages. This is not a bug — it's a structural feature of how modern monetary systems transmit liquidity.
IV
Each cycle compounds the prior one
Every period of prosperity that flows disproportionately to owners leaves the next cycle with more concentrated ownership as its starting point. The ratchet only turns one way.
The ripple effect

Appreciation radiates from the center of ownership.

Think of a stone dropped in still water. The energy is highest at the point of impact — then diminishes with distance. Asset appreciation works exactly this way. The owner captures 100% of the gain. Their employees, neighbors, and community absorb only faint vibrations of that wealth creation.

The distance between you and the asset owner is the most predictive factor of how much prosperity you experience during any given boom.

Asset Appreciation Ripple Effect ASSET OWNER 100% of appreciation EXECUTIVES & MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS equity comp & dividends EMPLOYEES & SERVICE PROVIDERS wages & contracts LOCAL ECONOMY & COMMUNITY spending spillover GENERAL POPULATION faint trickle effects
Ring 1 — The core
Asset owners & major shareholders
Equity appreciation, rental income, dividends, and capital gains flow directly and entirely to this group. Every 1% rise in the asset's value is a 1% rise in their net worth. No intermediary. No lag. No dilution.
Full benefit. Immediate. Compounding.
Ring 2 — Equity adjacent
Executives, employees with stock & homeowners
Equity compensation, profit-sharing, and rising home values give this group partial exposure to asset appreciation. The benefit is real but partial — diluted through salary structures, vesting schedules, and the fact that their primary home is both asset and necessity.
Partial benefit. Delayed. Often illiquid.
Ring 3–5 — The wage economy
Wage earners, renters & the asset-poor
The ripple reaches this group only as spending spillover — jobs created by wealth, services purchased, infrastructure funded by tax receipts. These are second- and third-order effects, inconsistent, and easily reversed by any tightening in monetary conditions. They feel the inflation; they rarely feel the appreciation.
Minimal. Indirect. First to reverse.
The ownership map

Concentration is
the starting condition.

Before analyzing any period of prosperity, you must first understand who owns the assets that will appreciate. These numbers set the geometry of everything that follows.

The data is stark. In equities, private business, and investment real estate — the three asset classes most exposed to monetary-policy-driven appreciation — ownership is concentrated to a degree that makes broad-based prosperity structurally improbable.

Top 1%
Next 9%
Next 40%
Bottom 50%
Source: Federal Reserve Distributional Financial Accounts, 2023
Corporate equities & mutual fundsTop 1% = 54%
54%
35%
8%
3%
Private businessesTop 1% = 62%
62%
23%
10%
5%
Investment real estateTop 1% = 35%
35%
33%
22%
10%
Primary residence (homes)More distributed
9%
29%
40%
22%
Total net worthTop 1% = 38%
38%
37%
22%
3%
Ten-year evidence

Wealth share: top 1% vs. bottom 50% (2010–2023)

Top 1% share
Bottom 50% share
Fed balance sheet
Sources: Federal Reserve DFA; FRED; academic research on US wealth distribution. Fed balance sheet shown on relative scale (right axis, hidden).
The MajorHolders thesis

"The geography of prosperity is not random. It follows the map of ownership. Every period of rising asset values — whether driven by low rates, QE, or genuine growth — amplifies existing concentration before it creates new opportunity. To understand who benefits from prosperity, you must first understand who holds the assets when it begins."

MajorHolders Research

Research series

The complete archive

Equity Research · June 2026
Boeing 777X — Certification Delays, Financial Risk & Outlook
A comprehensive analysis of the 777X program's regulatory bottlenecks, mounting write-down risk, and Boeing's narrowbody-led recovery thesis heading into 2H 2026. Where the FAA queue actually sits, what the accumulated program losses imply for further charges, and how the rest of the portfolio is offsetting the widebody overhang.
Ownership Intelligence · May 2026
COUR — Insight's Sell-Down vs. the $500M Buyback
Insight Partners held ~29.6M COUR shares at merger close on May 11. In under three weeks they've crossed below 10% — the Section 16 reporting threshold — selling into a declining stock and leaving a structural overhang. A reading of the supply pressure, the buyback math that partially offsets it, and what each side is doing to the price.
ETF Research · May 2026
TLTW — The Story Depends on the Timeframe
Since-inception, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond BuyWrite ETF has lost 43% of its price. Since September 2023 — once the 2022 rate spike is behind you — total returns are positive 9.8%. The same fund, three different stories depending on which window you read. A reading of when the strategy works, when it doesn't, and what an investor entering today should actually expect.
Ownership Intelligence · May 2026
Coursera × Udemy — The Combined Cap Table
The all-stock merger closed May 11, 2026 at a 0.800× exchange ratio, creating a ~$2.5B online-learning entity. A synthesis of 13G/13D filings, Form 3/4 disclosures, the S-4 proxy, and the May 18 Insight Partners sale — mapping who owns the combined company and what the $500M buyback authorization means for the float.
Equity Research · May 2026
QuidelOrtho — The 120% Problem
Ninety-four 13F filers hold the equivalent of 120% of QDEL's shares outstanding — a 13.5M-share over-reporting gap that maps almost exactly onto the short interest. The May 2026 snapshot, the securities-lending economics that explain the gap, and the full holder-by-holder cap table.
Video Briefing · YouTube · May 2026
AI — The Capital Cascade
A video walk-through of the AI Supercycle research — five hyperscalers, $775 billion in 2026 capex, a memory oligopoly rationing supply, and the sustainability question. The companion analysis to the written piece, in moving form.
Infrastructure Supercycle · May 2026
The AI Supercycle — Capex, Memory & the Sustainability Question
Five hyperscalers will spend roughly $775 billion in 2026 — nearly doubling 2025's record. A memory-chip oligopoly is rationing supply. End-user ROI lags badly behind capex. Reading whether this is a demand-led boom or a supply-driven mirage — and the three constraints money cannot solve.
Economics · May 2026 · 6 chapters
Inflation Explained: Who Actually Pays the Price?
From the basics of CPI to the asset bubble problem — how inflation interacts with asset ownership, class, and the structural flaws in how we measure it. Six chapters with interactive charts on the four ways official inflation undercounts the cost-of-living squeeze on the poor.
Macro · May 2026
The US Debt Picture — $80 Trillion Across Three Buckets
Roughly 2.7× annual economic output, owed across government, businesses, and households. A reading of the largest borrower on earth, the engines of business capital, and what the household debt picture actually looks like below the headline number.
Equity research · May 2026
QuidelOrtho — Financial Guidance vs. Actuals
Five fiscal years of QDEL guidance against what actually happened. From the COVID sugar high through the CEO transition to the May 5 reset — every guide issued, every mid-year revision, every miss. The pattern that emerges is the story.
Diagnostic briefing · May 2026
The K-Shaped Chasm — Navigating the 2026 Market Fracture
The S&P 500 is up 205% since 2020. Consumer sentiment hit 47.6 — the lowest reading on record. A synthesis of Fed stability data, CapEx shifts, and sector breadth reading the widest disconnect between asset prices and lived reality in modern US history.
Software economics · May 2026
Custom Accounting Software — The Solo Operator Question
AI coding assistants have collapsed the technical floor for building software. The arithmetic of a senior operator's time has not. A viability assessment of the build-it-yourself accounting stack — for personal use, a vertical-SaaS venture, or neither.
Equity research · May 2026
QuidelOrtho — Institutional Ownership Tracker
The proxy is filed; the Schedule 13Gs followed. T. Rowe halved its position, Fidelity bulked up to 11.5%, Newtyn accumulated through the drawdown. A reading of QDEL's cap table across the past three quarters, with cost basis estimates and live mark-to-market.
Equity research · April 2026
QuidelOrtho — The Holder Rotation Thesis
The fundamentals declined ~33% from peak. The stock declined ~95%. The gap is who owns it now — and what it would take to bring the long-only money back. An interactive look at QDEL's cap table, the reflexive trap, and the May 5 catalyst.
Strategic analysis · April 2026
Building a $2.5B Diagnostics Company — Three Paths
Greenfield, roll-up, hybrid — the capital, timeline, and probability of success across every viable way to assemble a QDEL-scope IVD franchise. The honest answer to "how do I build this" turns out to be "you almost certainly don't."
Competitive analysis · April 2026
QuidelOrtho Competitive Position — Franchise by Franchise
The instinctive comparison — QDEL vs. Roche — hides the real strategic picture. Reading QuidelOrtho's four franchises individually reveals one to lean into, one to defend, one to harvest, and one to selectively attack. Letter grades for each.
Market analyst report · March 2026
U.S. Residential Real Estate — The 350-Home Rule
Analysis of the Institutional Investor Restriction Act and its impact on SFR, BTR, apartments, and REITs. Why the bill paradoxically raises rents — and which apartment REITs are best positioned to benefit.
Personal finance guide · 2026
Self-Directed IRA — Take Control of Your Retirement
Real estate, precious metals, private equity, and crypto in a tax-advantaged retirement account. A practical guide to how self-directed IRAs work, how to choose a custodian, and the prohibited-transaction rules that trip up most first-time users.